February 21, 2009

Top Five update

This is a top five update for Three Year Olds only, the older horses will return in March after Dubai along with the debuts of the sprinter and turf lists.

3yo male (Triple Crown) Top Five:

1. Old Fashioned (Unbridled's Song)- A professional 3yo debut for him in the Southwest. He sat off pacesetter Silver City and took the lead at the top of the stretch. His final time was a second slower then Rachel Alexandra's Martha Washington time. But the track was playing faster the day before, still it will be interesting in how he does in the Rebel next time out.
Next race: Rebel S. at Oaklawn

2. Pioneerof the Nile (Empire Maker)- Right now he's the class of California and the one to watch going into the SA Derby. He's beaten Chocolate Candy, I Want Revenge ect. He hasn't faced The Pamplemousse yet, but that showdown could happen soon.
Next race: Santa Anita Derby? at Santa Anita

3. Chocolate Candy (Candy Ride)- Slips a spot due to the fact that Pioneer had a nice race last time out, and he did after a little bit of trouble at Golden Gate. One of two races at Santa Anita are next for him. My darkhorse pick.
Next race: A race at Santa Anita

4. Fresian Fire (AP Indy)- Is he this year's Pyro? He won both the Lacomte and Risen Star so far, he'll face a fresh Patena in the LA Derby along with several other horses that he's run against. It will be certinally interesting day for him when that comes.
Next race: LA Derby at the Fair Grounds

5. Patena (Seeking the Gold)- I still really like his chances going into the LA Derby, but will he be too fresh? Only time will tell.
Next race: LA Derby at the Fair Grounds

Falling off the list: Capt. Candyman Can (Candy Ride)- Could come back on after his race next week.

On the radar: Capt. Candyman Can, Dunkirk (Unbridled's Song), Silver City (Unbridled's Song), The Pamplemousse (Kafwain)

3yo female (Triple Tiara) Top Five:

1. Rachel Alexandra (Medaglia d'Oro)- Alot of people think she might end up better then Stardom Bound. I'm one of those people, for a few reasons. The biggest is that she has a dirt win under her belt, and it happens to be where the Oaks will be taking place. Has run faster then the boys the past two times, breaking the Martha Washington stakes record last time out. She might face the boys after either the Fair Grounds Oaks or Honeybee, but more then likley to stay against the girls.
Next race: either the Honeybee at Oaklawn or the Fair Grounds Oaks at the Fair Grounds.

2. Stardom Bound (Tapit)- In her defence, she did overcome traffic in her last start, but the pressure of being an IEAH horse has already started. She'll prep for the SA Derby in the SA Oaks, a detour of what orginally was going to happen in which she would have directly gone to the SA Derby. Should win the SA Oaks easily to setup a showdown with Pioneer and CC in the SA Derby.
Next race: SA Oaks at Santa Anita

3. War Echo (Tapit)- A 3/4 sister to Pyro, won the Silverbulletday last time out. It will be interesting in how she does in the FG Oaks especially if her stablemate Four Gifts (2nd) and Just Jenda (3rd) come back. Add in Evita Argentina and possibly Rachel Alexandra, this is turning into a great race.
Next race: FG Oaks? at the Fair Grounds

4. Evita Argentina (Candy Ride)- As Madonna sang in Evita (the movie) "Don't cry for me Argentina!", Evita (whose father is really from Argentina, so it makes sense) beat the boys in the San Vicente. This is something that would make her namesake (Who I assume is Eva Perron), proud. She's stretching out in her next race, the Fair Grounds Oaks.
Next race: FG Oaks at the Fair Grounds

5. Elusive Heat (Elusive Quality)- Haven't heard anything on where she's heading next, but squeeks in over Laragh, Four Gifts and Just Jenda. And that's saying as those three are more likley to hit the TT trail, where as EH will stay with sprinters.
Next race: ?????

Off the list: Laragh (Tapit)- not sure where's she's heading next. Hopefully a turf or small dirt stake soon.

On the radar: Four Gifts (Even the Score), Just Jenda (Menifee), Pumpkin Shell (Lion Heart)

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