July 3, 2015
Dwyer and Suburban Preview
7th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, July 4th, 2015
STAKES. 1 Mile Dirt. Purse $500,000. Dwyer S. (Grade 3). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. By subscription of $500 each which should accompany the nomination; $3,000 to pass the entry box and an additional $4,500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $7,500 along with the entry and starting fees may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries.The guaranteed purse of $500,000 will be divided accordingly, $275,000 to the owner of the winner, $100,000 to second, $60,000 to third, $30,000 to fourth, $15,000 to fifth, $10,000 to sixthand remaining $10,000 to be divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight 123 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded Sweepstake at a mile or over allowed 2 lbs.; of a Sweepstake at a mile or over, 4 lbs.; of two races other than maiden, claiming or starteer in 2015, 6 lbs.; of such a race in 2015, 8 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, June 20, 2015 with 30 Nominations. (03:52 PM) (7)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Blofeld 3 C L 123 Velazquez John R. Pletcher Todd A.
2 Bridget's Big Luvy 3 C L b 121 Maragh Rajiv Englehart Jeremiah C.
3 Tommy Macho 3 C L 117 Castellano Javier Pletcher Todd A.
4 Texas Red 3 C L 123 Desormeaux Kent J. Desormeaux J. Keith
5 Hollywood Angel 3 G L 117 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Farro Patricia
6 Speightster 3 C L 117 Lezcano Jose Mott William I.
7 Smart Transition 3 C L 115 Alvarado Junior Shirreffs John A.
Texas Red returns to the races after an injury knocked him off the TC trail. Blofeld could be his biggest challenge to get back into the WC. Keep an eye on Smart Transition to possibly upset this group.
9th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, July 4th, 2015
STAKES. 1 1/4 Mile Dirt. Purse $500,000. Suburban H. (Grade 2). A HANDICAP FOR FOUR- YEAR- OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $500 each which should accompany the nomination; $3,000 to pass the entry box and an additional $4,500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $7,500 (along with the entry and starting fees) must be made before 11:00 AM Saturday June 27th. The guaranteed purse will be divided accordingly, $275,000 to the owner of the winner, $100,000 to second, $60,000 to third, $30,000 to fourth, $15,000 to fifth, $10,000 tosixth and the remaining $10,000 divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Trophies will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, June 20, 2015 with 18 Nominations. (05:11 PM)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Street Babe 4 G L 114 Rosario Joel Dilger Michael
2 Coach Inge 4 G L 118 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Pletcher Todd A.
3 Mylute 5 H L 115 Castellano Javier Pletcher Todd A.
4 Neck 'n Neck 6 H L 114 Leparoux Julien R. Wilkes Ian R.
5 Effinex 4 C L 117 Alvarado Junior Jerkens James A.
6 Tonalist 4 C L o 123 Velazquez John R. Clement Christophe
Tonsils returns to his perfer mile and a quarter distance. Coach Inge held off V.E. Day in the Brooklyn, but Enffinex has already won at this distance this year. I think Tonalist holds off Mylute at the end.
June 4, 2015
Belmont Stakes Preview (Part 3)
11th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, June 6th, 2015
STAKES. 1 1/2 Mile Dirt. Purse $1,500,000. Belmont S. presented by DraftKings (Grade 1). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. By subscription of $600 each, to accompany the nomination, if made on or before January 17, 2015, or $6,000, if made on or before March 23, 2015. At any time prior to the closing time of entries, horses may be nominated to The Belmont Stakes upon payment of a supplementary fee of $75,000 to the New York Racing Association, Inc. $15,000 to pass the entry box and $15,000 additional to start. All entrants will be required to pay entry and starting fees; but no fees, supplemental or otherwise shall be added to the purse. The purse to be divided $800,000 to the winner, $280,000 to second, $150,000 to third, $100,000 to fourth, $60,000 to fifth, $45,000 to sixth, $35,000 to seventh and $30,000 to eighth. Colts and Geldings, 126 lbs.; Fillies, 121 lbs. The winning owner will be presented with the August Belmont Memorial Cup to be retained for one year as well as a trophy for permanent possession and trophies to the winning trainer and jockey. (06:50 PM) (8)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Mubtaahij (IRE) 3 C 126 Ortiz, Jr. Irad de Kock Michael F.
2 Tale Of Verve 3 C L 126 Stevens Gary L. Stewart Dallas
3 Madefromlucky 3 C L 126 Castellano Javier Pletcher Todd A.
4 Frammento 3 C L o 126 Smith Mike E. Zito Nicholas P.
5 American Pharoah 3 C L 126 Espinoza Victor Baffert Bob
6 Frosted 3 C L 126 Rosario Joel McLaughlin Kiaran P.
7 Keen Ice 3 C L 126 Desormeaux Kent J. Romans Dale L.
8 Materiality 3 C L 126 Velazquez John R. Pletcher Todd A.
Mubtaahij has the pedigree to go a mile and a half, however that's on turf. Tale of Verve may have gotten lucky with the sloppy track, however his broodmare sire is Unbridled. Madefromlucky's dad won the Preakness and hails from the same female family as Tapit. Fragment's trainer has spoiled 2 TC's in the past. Frosted is the buzz horse. Keen Ice I think is a serious threat and despite it being the 10 year anniversary of his sire's Belmont win... I'm not entirely sold on Materiality. As for American Pharoah, the pressure is going to be great on him.
My heart says AP can do it. My head says that the three horses who have a big chance to beat him are Keen Ice, Frosted and Madefromlucky with Tale Of Verve and Mubtaahij have good chances. End the end I think AP gets it done... by a length. Keen Ice for second and Frosted for third.
Good luck to all and safe travels!
June 3, 2015
Belmont Stakes Preview (Part 2)
8th Race - Belmont Park - Friday, June 5th, 2015
STAKES. 6 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $250,000. True North S. (Grade 2). FOR FOUR- YEAR- OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $250 each which should accompany the nomination. $1,250 to pass the entry box and an additional $1,250 to start. A supplemental nomination fee of $3,750 in addition to the entry and starting fees can bemade at any time prior to the close of entries. The purse will be divided as follows $137,500 to the owner of the winner, $50,000 to second, $30,000 to third, $15,000 to fourth, $7,500 to fifth, $5,000 to sixth with the remaining $5,000 to be divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight 124 lbs. Non-winners of $60,000 twice in 2014-15 allowed 2 lbs.; such a race in 2014-15, 4 lbs.; of two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or state bred in 2015, 6 lbs.; such a race in 2015, 8 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, May 23, 2015 with 15 Original Nominations and 1 Supplement. (04:32 PM) (8)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Favorite Tale 4 G L 124 Rosario Joel Preciado Guadalupe
2 Stallwalkin' Dude 5 G L 122 Cruz Angel Jacobson David
3 Captain Serious 4 G L 124 Alvarado Junior Rice Linda
4 Tenango 5 G L 116 Velasquez Cornelio H. Jacobson David
5 Dads Caps 5 H L 124 Ortiz Jose L. Rodriguez Rudy R.
6 Eastwood 5 H L 118 Velazquez John R. Pletcher Todd A.
7 Clearly Now 5 H L 122 Lezcano Jose Lynch Brian A.
8 Rock Fall 4 C L 120 Castellano Javier Pletcher Todd A.
This is a race between Captain Serious, Dads Caps, and Clearly Now. Don't underestimate Eastwood here either. I think Captain Serious gets the job done.
9th Race - Belmont Park - Friday, June 5th, 2015
STAKES. 1 1/4 Mile Turf. Purse $300,000. New York S. (Grade 2). INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR- YEAR- OLDS AND UPWARD. (05:05 PM) (9)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Selenite 4 F L 119 Carmouche Kendrick Donk David G.
2 White Rose 5 M L 119 Castellano Javier Mott William I.
3 Waltzing Matilda (IRE) 4 F L 115 Alvarado Junior Stack Tommy
4A Kitten's Queen 5 M L 117 Cancel Eric Brown Chad C.
5 Eastern Belle (GB) 4 F L 115 Lezcano Jose Motion H. Graham
6 Beauty Parlor 4 F L 119 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Clement Christophe
7 Riposte (GB) 5 M L b 119 Rosario Joel Mott William I.
8A Stephanie's Kitten 6 M L 119 Velazquez John R. Brown Chad C.
9 Maximova 5 M L 115 Velasquez Cornelio H. Clement Christophe
After being scratched against the boys Steph returns here. I think she wins, but keep an eye out for Riposte and the Clement horses.
3rd Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, June 6th, 2015
STAKES. 7 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $500,000. Woody Stephens S. (Grade 2). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. By subscription of $500 each which should accompany the nomination. $3,000 to pass the entry box and an additional $4,500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $7,500 along with the entry and starting fees may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse will be divided as follows $275,000 to the winner, $100,000 to second, $60,000 to third, $30,000 to fourth, $15,000 to fifth, $10,000 to sixth with the remaining $10,000 divided equally amongst remaining finishers. 123 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded Sweepstake in 2014-15 allowed 2 lbs.; of a sweepstake, 4 lbs.; of two races other than maiden,claiming or starter, 6 lbs.; such a race, 8 lbs. A Trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, May 23, 2015 with 26 Nominations. (12:39 PM) (6)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Ready For Rye 3 G L 123 Saez Luis Albertrani Thomas
2 March 3 C L 123 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Brown Chad C.
3 Competitive Edge 3 C L 123 Velazquez John R. Pletcher Todd A.
4 Two Weeks Off 3 C L 117 Castellano Javier Pletcher Todd A.
5 Cinco Charlie 3 C L 123 Santana, Jr. Ricardo Asmussen Steven M.
6 Classy Class 3 C L 117 Velasquez Cornelio H. McLaughlin Kiaran P.
This will be a good race to see how good Competitive Edge really is. Two Weeks Off, Cinco Charlie and March though have great chances to give him a loss here.
7th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, June 6th, 2015
STAKES. 1 Mile Dirt. Purse $750,000. TVG Acorn S. (Grade 1). FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. By subscription of $750 which should accompany the nomination. $5,000 to pass the entry box and an additional $6,250 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $11,250 along with the entry and starting fees may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries.The purse to be divided as follows $400,000 to the winner, $140,000 to second, $75,000 to third, $50,000 to fourth, $30,000 to fifth and $22,500 to sixth, $17,500 to seventh and $15,000 to eighth. 123 lbs. Non-winners of $500,000 allowed 2 lbs.; of a Graded Sweepstake, 4 lbs.; of two races at a mile or over other than maiden, claiming or starter, 6 lbs.; such a race at a mile or over, 8 lbs. Trophies will be presented to the winning owner, trainer and jockey. Closed, Saturday, May 23, 2015 with 33 Nominations. (03:15 PM) (12)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Oceanwave 3 F L b 115 Espinoza Victor Catalano Wayne M.
2 Wonder Gal 3 F L 115 Stevens Gary L. Gyarmati Leah
3 By The Moon 3 F L 121 Ortiz Jose L. Nevin Michelle
4 Calamity Kate 3 F L 117 Lopez Paco Breen Kelly J.
5 Bar Of Gold 3 F L 115 Alvarado Junior Kimmel John C.
6 Curalina 3 F L 117 Velazquez John R. Pletcher Todd A.
7 Condo Commando 3 F L 121 Rosario Joel Rodriguez Rudy R.
8 Shook Up 3 F L 115 Albarado Robby Asmussen Steven M.
9 Promise Me Silver 3 F L 121 Smith Mike E. Calhoun W. Bret
10 Light The City 3 F L 115 Ortiz, Jr. Irad McLaughlin Kiaran P.
11 Miss Ella 3 F L 121 Maragh Rajiv Motion H. Graham
12 Danzatrice 3 F L 117 McCarthy Trevor Lynch Cathal A
Promise Me Silver has a lot to prove. Shook Up is coming off runner up finish in the KY Oaks. A lot of people thought Wonder Gal was going to be a serious horse this year... we'll see how she does in her second start of the year. I would love Condo Commando and By the Moon's chances if it where a sloppy track (rain is no longer in the forecast). I think Promise Me Silver wins, but not by much. By the Moon for second.
8th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, June 6th, 2015
STAKES. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $700,000. Longines Just a Game S. (Grade 1). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR- YEAR- OLDS AND UPWARD. (04:00 PM) (10)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Lady Lara (IRE) 4 F L 121 Alvarado Junior Mott William I.
2 Sandiva (IRE) 4 F L 115 Smith Mike E. Pletcher Todd A.
3 Discreet Marq 5 M L 117 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Clement Christophe
4 Coffee Clique 5 M L 123 Velazquez John R. Lynch Brian A.
5 Baffle Me 6 M L 113 Lopez Paco Hennig Mark A.
6 Filimbi 5 M L 117 Rosario Joel Mott William I.
7 J Wonder 4 F L 113 Lezcano Jose McGaughey III Claude R.
8 Ball Dancing 4 F L 123 Castellano Javier Brown Chad C.
9 Tepin 4 F L 121 Leparoux Julien R. Casse Mark E.
10 Photo Call (IRE) 4 F L 113 Maragh Rajiv Motion H. Graham
There's Discreet Marq... and then there's everyone else. Coffee Clique though is the defending champ. Look out for Ball Dancing and Filimbi as well.
10th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, June 6th, 2015
STAKES. 1 1/4 Mile Turf. Purse $1,000,000. Knob Creek Manhattan S. (Grade 1). INNER TURF FOR FOUR- YEAR- OLDS AND UPWARD. (05:46 PM) (11)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Hyper 8 H L 114 Leparoux Julien R. Brown Chad C.
2 Twilight Eclipse 6 G L 122 Castellano Javier Albertrani Thomas
3 Finnegans Wake 6 H L 122 Espinoza Victor Miller Peter
4 War Dancer 5 H L 116 Lezcano Jose Mott William I.
5 Big Blue Kitten 7 H L 118 Bravo Joe Brown Chad C.
6 Legendary (GB) 6 G L 118 Prado Edgar S. Saville Niall
7 Slumber (GB) 7 H L b 114 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Brown Chad C.
8 Biz The Nurse (IRE) 5 H L 114 Rosario Joel Albertrani Thomas
9 Magic Artist (IRE) 4 C 116 Demuro Cristian Figge Wolfgang
10 General A Rod 4 C L o 114 Velazquez John R. Pletcher Todd A.
11 Jack Milton 5 H L 124 Nakatani Corey S. Pletcher Todd A.
Twilight Eclipse finally got his G1 win here. I don't think Jack Milton was a mile and a quarter. Finnegan's Wake could finally coming into his own. Twilight and Finnegan to go 1-2 in some order.
Belmont Stakes Preview (Part 1)
3rd Race - Belmont Park - Thursday, June 4th, 2015
STAKES. 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $250,000. Astoria S. FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. By subscription of $250 each which should accompany the nomination; $1,250 to pass the entry box and an additional $1,250 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $3,750 along with the entry and starting fees may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The guaranteed purse of $250,000 will be divided accordingly $130,000 to the winner, $50,000 to second, $30,000 to third, $15,000 to fourth, $10,000 to fifth, $6,500 to sixth, $4,500 to seventh and $4,000 to eighth. 120 lbs. Non winners of a race other than claiming or starter allowed 3 lbs.; Maidens, 5 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, May 23, 2015 with 22 Nominations. (01:52 PM) (6)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 One Minute 2 F L 120 Velazquez John R. Asmussen Steven M.
2 Moment Is Right 2 F L 120 Rosario Joel Ward Wesley A.
3 La Nina 2 F L 115 Cruz Angel Lawrence, II James L.
4 Decked Out 2 F L 120 Desormeaux Kent J. Desormeaux J. Keith
5 Tonasah 2 F L 115 Castellano Javier Pletcher Todd A.
6 Little Cherie 2 F L 120 Smith Mike E. Maker Michael J.
Moment Is Right is cross-entered into the Tremont, but will go here. La Nina is still a maiden, Tonasah will be making her career debut. Moment Is Right beat the boys in her lone start and should be the horse to beat here.
Top three:
Moment is Right
Decked Out
One Minute
4th Race - Belmont Park - Friday, June 5th, 2015
STAKES. 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $250,000. Tremont S.. FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. By subscription of $250 each which should accompany the nomination; $1,250 to pass the entry box and an additional $1,250 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $3,750 along with the entry and startingfees may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The guaranteed purse of $250,000 will be divided accordingly $130,000 to the winner, $50,000 to second, $30,000 to third, $15,000 to fourth, $10,000 to fifth, $6,500 to sixth, $4,500 to seventhand $4,000 to eighth. 121 lbs. Non winners of a race other than claiming or starter allowed 3 lbs.; Maidens, 5 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, May 23, 2015 with 21 Original Nominations and 1 Supplement. (02:24 PM) (10)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Cocked And Loaded 2 C L 121 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Rivelli Larry
2 The Love Monkey 2 C 116 Rice Taylor B. Rice Kevin
3 Swipe 2 C L 116 Desormeaux Kent J. Desormeaux J. Keith
4 Cat Tree 2 C L 121 Parker Deshawn L. Kobiskie Dane
5 Banree 2 F L 118 Hernandez Rafael Manuel Ward Wesley A.
6 Sweet Steppin 2 C L 118 Perez Xavier Salzman, Jr. John E.
7 Uncle Vinny 2 C L 121 Velazquez John R. Pletcher Todd A.
8 Dr. Shane 2 C 121 Franco Manuel Esler Nicholas
10 Paynes Prairie 2 C L 116 Castellano Javier Asmussen Steven M.
There are several maidens in this race. Moment is Right will remain against her own sex in tomorrow's Astoria. Leaning towards Cat Tree for this race, but don't count out Uncle Vinny either.
Top three:
Cat Tree
Uncle Vinny
Banree
June 27, 2014
Preview of the Mother Goose
June 5, 2014
Belmont preview
11th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, June 7th, 2014
STAKES. 1 1/2 Mile Dirt. Purse $1,500,000. Belmont S. (Grade 1). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. By subscription of $600 each, to accompany the nomination, if made on or before January 25, 2014, or $6,000, if made on or before March 22, 2014. At any time prior to the closing time of entries, horses may be nominated to The Belmont Stakes upon payment of a supplementary fee of $75,000 to the New York Racing Association, Inc. $15,000 to pass the entry box and $15,000 additional to start. All entrants will be required to pay entry and starting fees; but no fees, supplemental or otherwise shall be added to the purse. The purse to be divided $800,000 to the winner, $280,000 to second, $150,000 to third, $100,000 to fourth, $60,000 to fifth, $45,000 to sixth, $35,000 to seventh and $30,000 to eighth. Colts and Geldings, 126 lbs.; Fillies, 121 lbs. The winning owner will be presented with the August Belmont Memorial Cup to be retained for one year as well as a trophy for permanent possession and trophies to the winning trainer and jockey. (06:52 PM) (11)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Medal Count 3 C L 126 Albarado Robby Romans Dale L.
2 California Chrome 3 C L 126 Espinoza Victor Sherman Art
3 Matterhorn 3 C L 126 Bravo Joe Pletcher Todd A.
4 Commanding Curve 3 R L 126 Bridgmohan Shaun Stewart Dallas
5 Ride On Curlin 3 C L 126 Velazquez John R. Gowan William G.
6 Matuszak 3 C L 126 Smith Mike E. Mott William I.
7 Samraat 3 C L 126 Ortiz Jose L. Violette, Jr. Richard A.
8 Commissioner 3 C L 126 Castellano Javier Pletcher Todd A.
9 Wicked Strong 3 C L 126 Maragh Rajiv Jerkens James A.
10 General A Rod 3 C L 126 Napravnik Rosie Maker Michael J.
11 Tonalist 3 C L 126 Rosario Joel Clement Christophe
Post positions don't really matter that much in this race because of the length. Some people think California Chrome's post is good and some who think that it's terrible. The horses who are serious challengers to Cal Chrome are Tonalist, Wicked Strong, Commanding Curve, Medal Count and Commissioner. I don't think Ride On Curlin is as big of a threat for a few reasons, the biggest is that this is the third jockey change in a row. Secondly while he was bred for two turns he has yet to win going it. Thirdly, to me he looked to be spinning his wheels on the Pimlico surface at the end. He had every chance to pass Chrome there and he didn't. Samraat would be a minor surprise and General A Rod, well his sire already has a Belmont winner. Matterhorn and Mutuszak have no business being in this race.
I want to see a Triple Crown, I really do. However, Wicked Strong was my Derby pick and ran into so much traffic in that race, yet ran well enough to run fourth. He broke his maiden at Belmont last year and has run his best races in New York. He is my choice to upset California Chrome in the Belmont.
Win: Wicked Strong
Place: Tonalist
Show: California Chrome
June 6, 2013
Belmont and Undercard Preview
Will Wayne or one of this three former assistants take it down or is it Shug's for the taking? Will youngsters Irad, Joel or Rosie (all of them are under 30) get it done or it will be the old timers Gary and Jon (both are either 50 or over 50)? Will Kenny and Kieren end up in the Winners Circle again together? (Tight finishes have been the norm the past couple of years in the Belmont and last year's Travers was a pretty awesome race!) Will one of the Todd Squad make it? Lets take a look at this year's field!
1 Frac Daddy (30-1) Garcia, McPeek
2 Freedom Child (8-1) Saez, Albertrani
3 Overanalyze (12-1) Velazquez, Pletcher
4 Giant Finish (30-1) Prado, Dutrow
5 Orb (3-1) Rosario, McGaughey
6 Incognito (20-1) Ortiz Jr., McLaughlin
7 Oxbow (5-1) Stevens, Lukas
8 Midnight Taboo (30-1) Gomez, Pletcher
9 Revolutionary (9-2) Castellano, Pletcher
10 Will Take Charge (20-1) Court, Lukas
11 Vyjack (20-1) Leparoux, Rodriguez
12 Palace Malice (15-1) Smith, Pletcher
13 Unlimited Budget (8-1) Napravnik, Pletcher
14 Golden Soul (10-1) Albarado, Stewart
Here are the pros and cons for each horse.
Frac Daddy (Scat Daddy)
Pros: Belmont winning jockey, Broodmare sire second in the Belmont
Cons: Ran very poorly in the Derby
Freedom Child (Malibu Moon)
Pros: Won the Peter Pan at the track, weather looks like it will be to his liking.
Cons: Was a non starter in the Wood after coming out of the gates poorly (in which only one Derby starter from that prep ran well), took awhile to break his maiden
Overanalyze (Dixie Union)
Pros: Defending sire, the AR Derby better then first expected, defending jock
Cons: Can be a hit or miss when it comes to stakes races
Giant Finish (Frost Giant)
Pros: Ran remarkably well in the Derby considering his last minute addition, has the right jock to pull the upset, race owes his trainers family
Cons: Still have to say has yet to win a NYB stakes race
Orb (Malibu Moon)
Pros: Derby winner, Belmont winning trainer, weather will help, has an awesome female family for a mile and a half
Cons: Didn't really take to the Pimlico surface, how much is in the tank
Incognito (A.P. Indy)
Pros: Belmont winning sire, mom won 2 G1's at the track going a route of ground, Belmont winning trainer, young jockey
Cons: 5th in the Peter Pan, took awhile to break maiden
Oxbow (Awesome Again)
Pros: Preakness winner, his cousin ran second in this race last year, both his jockey and trainer have won the Belmont (apart and together)
Cons: Ran in both the Derby and Preakness like Orb how much is left?
Midnight Taboo (Langfuhr)
Pros: Sire has a Triple Crown winner in Canada, Belmont winning broodmare sire
Cons: 3 starts under his belt, stakes debut
Revolutionary (War Pass)
Pros: Skipped the Preakness, gets the jockey that he won the LA Derby back, dam won at a mile and a quarter
Cons: I'm concerned that his sire's side will shine thorough a bit and he'll be backing up late
Will Take Charge (Unbridled's Song)
Pros: Gets Derby rider back
Cons: Ran very poorly in the Preakness, like Orb and Oxbow ran in both races
Vyjack (Into Mischief)
Pros: Ummm none
Cons: Ran poorly in the Derby, too far IMO for his liking
Palace Malice (Curlin)
Pros: Sire second in this race in 2007, Belmont winning jock
Cons: If he sets a hot pace like he did in the Derby, he could be in serious trouble
Unlimited Budget (Street Sense)
Pros: Dad won the Derby in 2007, trainer knows how to win the Belmont with a filly
Cons: Female family not as strong for a mile and a half as Rags to Riches was, 3rd in the Oaks but IMO that was an oddly run race
Golden Soul (Perfect Soul (IRE))
Pros: 2nd in the Derby, Trainer was an asst. for previous Belmont winners
Cons: 1 win in his career, winless this year
So who gets the win this year? As much as I would love either Oxbow or Orb win, niether is my pick for the race. My pick for the 2013 Belmont is Golden Soul, Oxbow for second and Orb for third. Incognito to finish in fourth. However, this race can be a crapshoot as well, so if Orb wins, I wouldn't be suprised.
As for the Undercard, the race of the day outside the Belmont is the Just A Game. Stephanie's Kitten vs Mizdirection? I think Steph has the advantage, but don't count out Miz or Centre Court who I think could have a monster year. I love Reload in the True North and Point of Entry in the Manhattan, but Optimizer ran so well on the two turf stakes before the the TC races.
September 28, 2012
Super Saturday preview (Part 2)
Post # Horse's Name Age/Sex Weight Jockey Trainer 1 Go Unbridled 5/M 123 Rosario Joel Jerkens H. Allen 2 Maristar 5/M 123 Velazquez John R. Pletcher Todd A. 3 Royal Delta 4/F 123 Smith Mike E. Mott William I. 4 Cash for Clunkers 4/F 123 Garcia Alan Violette, Jr. Richard A. 5 Disposablepleasure 3/F 120 Dominguez Ramon A. Pletcher Todd A. 6 It's Tricky 4/F 123 Castro Eddie McLaughlin Kiaran P. 7 Acting Happy 5/M 123 Castellano Javier Dutrow, Jr. Richard E.
Post # | Horse's Name | Age/Sex | Weight | Jockey | Trainer |
1 | Amani (CHI) | 4/F | 121 | Bejarano Rafael | Drysdale Neil D. |
2 | Love Theway Youare | 4/F | 124 | Flores David Romero | Cho Myung Kwon |
3 | Switch | 5/M | 119 | Gomez Garrett K. | Sadler John W. |
4 | Joyful Victory | 4/F | 119 | Napravnik Rosie | Jones J. Larry |
5 | Star Billing | 4/F | 121 | Espinoza Victor | Shirreffs John A. |
6 | Include Me Out | 4/F | 124 | Talamo Joseph | Ellis Ronald W. |
7 | Love and Pride | 4/F | 124 | Garcia Martin | Pletcher Todd A. |
8 | Via Villaggio | 3/F | 116 | Pedroza Martin A. | Hollendorfer Jerry |
9 | Miss Mittagong | 5/M | 119 | Gutierrez Mario | Cecil Ben D.A. |
Post # | Horse's Name | Age/Sex | Weight | Jockey | Trainer |
1 | Ron The Greek | 5/H | 126 | Lezcano Jose | Mott William I. |
2 | Stay Thirsty | 4/C | 126 | Dominguez Ramon A. | Pletcher Todd A. |
3 | Ruler On Ice | 4/G | 126 | Garcia Alan | Breen Kelly J. |
4 | Hymn Book | 6/G | 126 | Velazquez John R. | McGaughey III Claude R. |
5 | Fort Larned | 4/C | 126 | Hernandez, Jr. Brian Joseph | Wilkes Ian R. |
6 | Atigun | 3/C | 122 | Smith Mike E. | McPeek Kenneth G. |
7 | Fast Falcon | 3/C | 122 | Nakatani Corey S. | Zito Nicholas P. |
8 | San Pablo | 4/C | 126 | Castellano Javier | Pletcher Todd A. |
9 | Flat Out | 6/H | 126 | Rosario Joel | Mott William I. |
10 | Game Ball | 5/H | 126 | Maragh Rajiv | Chatterpaul Naipaul |
Post # | Horse's Name | Age/Sex | Weight | Jockey | Trainer |
1 | Game On Dude | 5/G | 124 | Bejarano Rafael | Baffert Bob |
2 | Winning Machine | 6/G | 119 | Matias Javier | Lucarelli Frank |
3 | Nonios | 3/C | 116 | Pedroza Martin A. | Hollendorfer Jerry |
4 | Groovin' Solo | 3/C | 116 | Flores David Romero | Cho Myung Kwon |
5 | Suggestive Boy (ARG) | 4/C | 121 | Talamo Joseph | McAnally Ronald L. |
6 | Empire Way | 3/C | 116 | Blanc Brice | Harrington Mike |
7 | Richard's Kid | 7/H | 119 | Gomez Garrett K. | O'Neill Doug F. |
8 | Balladry | 4/C | 119 | Espinoza Victor | Harty Eoin G. |
9 | Rail Trip | 7/G | 119 | Valdivia, Jr. Jose | Ellis Ronald W. |
So that's it for this weekend, there are a couple of other races outthere this weekend including the Oklahoma Derby and the John Henry Turf Championship (formally known as the Clement Hirsch Turf Championship, both of those races will run on Sunday. Good luck to all the horses and may they return safe and sound.
September 27, 2012
Super Saturday Preview (Part 1)
6th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, September 29th, 2012
STAKES. 1 Mile Dirt. Purse $400,000. Kelso H. (Grade 2). A HANDICAP FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. (03:30 PM) (9) |
PP | Horse | A/S | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
1 | Isn't He Perfect | 4 C | 114 | Luzzi Michael J. | Dutrow, Jr. Richard E. |
2 | Golddigger's Boy | 5 H | 115 | Lezcano Jose | Preciado Ramon |
3 | Jersey Town | 6 H | 116 | Castellano Javier | Tagg Barclay |
4 | Tapizar | 4 C | 117 | Nakatani Corey S. | Asmussen Steven M. |
5 | To Honor And Serve | 4 C | 121 | Velazquez John R. | Mott William I. |
6 | Shackleford | 4 C | 121 | Dominguez Ramon A. | Romans Dale L. |
7 | Gallant Fields | 5 G | 114 | Rosario Joel | Dutrow, Jr. Richard E. |
8 | Pacific Ocean | 5 G | 116 | Garcia Wilmer A. | Dutrow, Jr. Richard E. |
9 | Trickmeister | 5 H | 116 | Velasquez Cornelio H. | Dutrow, Jr. Richard E. |
7th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, September 29th, 2012
STAKES. 6 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $400,000. Vosburgh Invitational S. (Grade 1). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. (04:04 PM) (10)
|
PP | Horse | A/S | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
1 | Poseidon's Warrior | 4 C | 124 | Ortiz, Jr. Irad | Reid, Jr. Robert E. |
2 | Little Drama | 4 G | 124 | Maragh Rajiv | Mareina Michael |
3 | Zero Rate Policy | 4 G | 124 | Lezcano Jose | Pompay Teresa M. |
4 | Sean Avery | 6 G | 124 | Bravo Joe | Iwinski Allen |
5 | The Lumber Guy | 3 C | 124 | Velazquez John R. | Hushion Michael E. |
6 | Fort Loudon | 3 C | 124 | Nakatani Corey S. | Zito Nicholas P. |
7 | Rothko | 4 C | 124 | Leparoux Julien R. | Asmussen Steven M. |
8 | Royal Currier | 4 G | 124 | Elliott Stewart | Farro Patricia |
9 | Caixa Eletronica | 7 H | 124 | Castellano Javier | Pletcher Todd A. |
10 | Justin Phillip | 4 C | 124 | Dominguez Ramon A. | Asmussen Steven M. |
8th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, September 29th, 2012
STAKES. 1 1/4 Mile Turf. Purse $600,000. Flower Bowl Invitational S. (Grade 1). INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. (04:38 PM) (9)
|
PP | Horse | A/S | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
1 | Dream Peace (IRE) | 4 F | 119 | Leparoux Julien R. | Brown Chad C. |
2 | Hessonite | 4 F | 119 | Lezcano Jose | Donk David G. |
3 | Hit It Rich | 5 M | 119 | Castellano Javier | McGaughey III Claude |
4 | I'm A Dreamer (IRE) | 5 M | 123 | Turner Hayley | Simcock David |
5 | Starformer | 4 F | 119 | Smith Mike E. | Mott William I. |
6 | Bizzy Caroline | 4 F | 119 | Cohen David | McPeek Kenneth G. |
7 | Zagora (FR) | 5 M | 121 | Dominguez Ramon A. | Brown Chad C. |
8 | Nahrain (GB) | 4 F | 121 | Velazquez John R. | Varian Roger |
9 | Halo Dolly | 4 F | 121 | Rosario Joel | Hollendorfer Jerry |
9th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, September 29th, 2012
STAKES. 1 1/2 Mile Turf. Purse $600,000. Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Invitational S. (Grade 1). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. (05:12 PM) (6)
|
PP | Horse | A/S | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
1 | Hailstone | 5 H | 126 | Leparoux Julien R. | Ribaudo Robert |
2 | Point of Entry | 4 C | 126 | Velazquez John R. | McGaughey III Claude |
3 | Treasure Beach (GB) | 4 C | 126 | Spencer Jamie P. | O'Brien Aiden P. |
4 | Little Mike | 5 G | 126 | Dominguez Ramon A. | Romans Dale L. |
5 | Kindergarden Kid | 5 G | 126 | Castellano Javier | Maker Michael J. |
6 | Finnegan's Wake | 3 C | 121 | Rosario Joel | Romans Dale L. |
6th Race - Santa Anita Park - Saturday, September 29th, 2012
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $250,000. Chandelier S. (Grade 1). FOR FILLIES, TWO YEARS OLD. (03:36 PM) (11) |
PP | Horse | A/S | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
1 | Majestic Minister | 2 F | 122 | Gryder Aaron T. | Puype Mike |
2 | Renee's Queen | 2 F | 122 | Garcia Martin | Guillot Eric |
3 | Switch To The Lead | 2 F | 122 | Espinoza Victor | Biancone Patrick |
4 | Wittgenstein (IRE) | 2 F | 122 | Gutierrez Mario | O'Neill Doug F. |
5 | Beholder | 2 F | 122 | Gomez Garrett K. | Mandella Richard E. |
6 | Butterfly Soul | 2 F | 122 | Carreno Jorge | Vallejo Genaro |
7 | Executiveprivilege | 2 F | 122 | Bejarano Rafael | Baffert Bob |
8 | Scarlet Strike | 2 F | 122 | Talamo Joseph | Hollendorfer Jerry |
9 | Salamera | 2 F | 122 | Castillio Angel | Garcia Rodolfo |
10 | Contessa's Moment | 2 F | 122 | Puglisi Ignacio | Aguirre Paul G. |
11 | Miss Empire | 2 F | 122 | Pedroza Martin A. | Miller Peter |
7th Race - Santa Anita Park - Saturday, September 29th, 2012
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $250,000. FrontRunner S. (Grade 1). FOR TWO-YEAR-OLDS. (04:07 PM) (11)
|
PP | Horse | A/S | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
1 | Carving | 2 C | 122 | Garcia Martin | Baffert Bob |
2 | Gabriel Charles | 2 C | 122 | Talamo Joseph | Mullins Jeff |
3 | Dirty Swagg | 2 R | 122 | Flores David Romero | Cho Myung Kwon |
4 | The Whole Deal | 2 C | 122 | Maldonado Edwin A. | Knapp Steve |
5 | Dry Summer | 2 R | 122 | Napravnik Rosie | Mullins Jeff |
6 | Imperative | 2 R | 122 | Gryder Aaron T. | Harty Eoin G. |
7 | Know More | 2 C | 122 | Gomez Garrett K. | O'Neill Doug F. |
8 | Capo Bastone | 2 C | 122 | Espinoza Victor | Sadler John W. |
9 | Den's Legacy | 2 C | 122 | Quinonez Alonso | Baffert Bob |
10 | Power Broker | 2 C | 122 | Bejarano Rafael | Baffert Bob |
11 | Wild Student | 2 C | 122 | Puglisi Ignacio | Aguirre Paul G. |
9th Race - Santa Anita Park - Saturday, September 29th, 2012
STAKES. 1 1/4 Mile Turf. Purse $250,000. Rodeo Drive S. (Grade 1). FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. (05:08 PM) (13)
|
PP | Horse | A/S | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
1 | Go Forth North | 5 M | 119 | Flores David Romero | Avila A. C. |
2 | Let's Go Cheyenne | 4 F | 119 | Bejarano Rafael | Cerin Vladimir |
3 | Stormy Lucy | 3 F | 116 | Pedroza Martin A. | Lucarelli Frank |
4 | Left A Message | 3 F | 116 | Blanc Brice | Proctor Thomas F. |
5 | My Gi Gi | 3 F | 116 | Espinoza Victor | Eurton Peter |
6 | Cambina (IRE) | 4 F | 119 | Garcia Martin | Bonde Jeff |
7 | Camelia Rose (FR) | 4 F | 119 | Gutierrez Mario | Callaghan Simon |
8 | Thisismystage | 4 F | 119 | Maldonado Edwin A. | Dollase Craig |
9 | Vivo Per Lei | 5 M | 119 | Quinonez Alonso | Proctor Thomas F. |
10 | I Dazzle | 4 F | 119 | Valenzuela Patrick A. | Van Berg Jack C. |
11 | Marketing Mix | 4 F | 121 | Gomez Garrett K. | Proctor Thomas F. |
12 | City To City | 5 M | 121 | Talamo Joseph | Hollendorfer Jerry |
13 | Nereid | 4 F | 119 | Napravnik Rosie | Shirreffs John A. |