Will Wayne or one of this three former assistants take it down or is it Shug's for the taking? Will youngsters Irad, Joel or Rosie (all of them are under 30) get it done or it will be the old timers Gary and Jon (both are either 50 or over 50)? Will Kenny and Kieren end up in the Winners Circle again together? (Tight finishes have been the norm the past couple of years in the Belmont and last year's Travers was a pretty awesome race!) Will one of the Todd Squad make it? Lets take a look at this year's field!
1 Frac Daddy (30-1) Garcia, McPeek
2 Freedom Child (8-1) Saez, Albertrani
3 Overanalyze (12-1) Velazquez, Pletcher
4 Giant Finish (30-1) Prado, Dutrow
5 Orb (3-1) Rosario, McGaughey
6 Incognito (20-1) Ortiz Jr., McLaughlin
7 Oxbow (5-1) Stevens, Lukas
8 Midnight Taboo (30-1) Gomez, Pletcher
9 Revolutionary (9-2) Castellano, Pletcher
10 Will Take Charge (20-1) Court, Lukas
11 Vyjack (20-1) Leparoux, Rodriguez
12 Palace Malice (15-1) Smith, Pletcher
13 Unlimited Budget (8-1) Napravnik, Pletcher
14 Golden Soul (10-1) Albarado, Stewart
Here are the pros and cons for each horse.
Frac Daddy (Scat Daddy)
Pros: Belmont winning jockey, Broodmare sire second in the Belmont
Cons: Ran very poorly in the Derby
Freedom Child (Malibu Moon)
Pros: Won the Peter Pan at the track, weather looks like it will be to his liking.
Cons: Was a non starter in the Wood after coming out of the gates poorly (in which only one Derby starter from that prep ran well), took awhile to break his maiden
Overanalyze (Dixie Union)
Pros: Defending sire, the AR Derby better then first expected, defending jock
Cons: Can be a hit or miss when it comes to stakes races
Giant Finish (Frost Giant)
Pros: Ran remarkably well in the Derby considering his last minute addition, has the right jock to pull the upset, race owes his trainers family
Cons: Still have to say has yet to win a NYB stakes race
Orb (Malibu Moon)
Pros: Derby winner, Belmont winning trainer, weather will help, has an awesome female family for a mile and a half
Cons: Didn't really take to the Pimlico surface, how much is in the tank
Incognito (A.P. Indy)
Pros: Belmont winning sire, mom won 2 G1's at the track going a route of ground, Belmont winning trainer, young jockey
Cons: 5th in the Peter Pan, took awhile to break maiden
Oxbow (Awesome Again)
Pros: Preakness winner, his cousin ran second in this race last year, both his jockey and trainer have won the Belmont (apart and together)
Cons: Ran in both the Derby and Preakness like Orb how much is left?
Midnight Taboo (Langfuhr)
Pros: Sire has a Triple Crown winner in Canada, Belmont winning broodmare sire
Cons: 3 starts under his belt, stakes debut
Revolutionary (War Pass)
Pros: Skipped the Preakness, gets the jockey that he won the LA Derby back, dam won at a mile and a quarter
Cons: I'm concerned that his sire's side will shine thorough a bit and he'll be backing up late
Will Take Charge (Unbridled's Song)
Pros: Gets Derby rider back
Cons: Ran very poorly in the Preakness, like Orb and Oxbow ran in both races
Vyjack (Into Mischief)
Pros: Ummm none
Cons: Ran poorly in the Derby, too far IMO for his liking
Palace Malice (Curlin)
Pros: Sire second in this race in 2007, Belmont winning jock
Cons: If he sets a hot pace like he did in the Derby, he could be in serious trouble
Unlimited Budget (Street Sense)
Pros: Dad won the Derby in 2007, trainer knows how to win the Belmont with a filly
Cons: Female family not as strong for a mile and a half as Rags to Riches was, 3rd in the Oaks but IMO that was an oddly run race
Golden Soul (Perfect Soul (IRE))
Pros: 2nd in the Derby, Trainer was an asst. for previous Belmont winners
Cons: 1 win in his career, winless this year
So who gets the win this year? As much as I would love either Oxbow or Orb win, niether is my pick for the race. My pick for the 2013 Belmont is Golden Soul, Oxbow for second and Orb for third. Incognito to finish in fourth. However, this race can be a crapshoot as well, so if Orb wins, I wouldn't be suprised.
As for the Undercard, the race of the day outside the Belmont is the Just A Game. Stephanie's Kitten vs Mizdirection? I think Steph has the advantage, but don't count out Miz or Centre Court who I think could have a monster year. I love Reload in the True North and Point of Entry in the Manhattan, but Optimizer ran so well on the two turf stakes before the the TC races.
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