April 29, 2015

Kentucky Oaks Preview

My Oaks preview this year won't be that in depth as in years past. However I really wanted to do a preview on this race. So here is the field for the 2015 Oaks!


11th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 1st, 2015
STAKES. 1 1/8 Mile Dirt. Purse $1,000,000. Longines Kentucky Oaks (Grade 1). FOR FILLIES, THREE YEARS OLD. By subscription of $200 each on or before February 21, 2015 or $1,500 each on or before Wednesday, April 8, 2015. A Supplementary Nomination of $30,000 each may be made at time of entry. $5,000 to pass the entry box; $5,000 additional to start, with $1,000,000 guaranteed. After payment of 1% to all owners of horses finishing sixth through last, 62% of the remaining purse shall be paid to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth and 3% to fifth. Weight: 121 lbs. The maximum number of starters for the Longines Kentucky Oaks will be limited to fourteen (14) with up to four (4) horses designated as also-eligible to start. If more than fourteen (14) entries pass the entry box, preference will be given tothose horses that have accumulated the most points pursuant to the Road to the Kentucky Oaks Point System. For purposes of this preference, the Road to the Kentucky Oaks Point System shall mean the point values assigned to the first four finishing positions in each race comprising the Road to the Kentucky Oaks as published by Churchill Downs Incorporated. In the case of ties resulting from preferences or otherwise, the additional starter(s) shall be determined by lot. (05:49 PM)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Forever Unbridled 3 F L 121 Smith Mike E. Stewart Dallas
2 Shook Up 3 F L 121 Albarado Robby Asmussen Steven M.
3 Include Betty 3 F L 121 Homeister, Jr. Rosemary B. Proctor Thomas F.
4 Eskenformoney 3 F L 121 Castellano Javier Pletcher Todd A.
5 Condo Commando 3 F L 121 Rosario Joel Rodriguez Rudy R.
6 Angela Renee 3 F L 121 Velazquez John R. Pletcher Todd A.
7 Lovely Maria 3 F L 121 Clark Kerwin D. Jones J. Larry
8 I'm A Chatterbox 3 F L 121 Geroux Florent Jones J. Larry
9 Money'soncharlotte 3 F L 121 Lopez Paco Breen Kelly J.
10 Oceanwave 3 F L 121 Bejarano Rafael Catalano Wayne M.
11 Sarah Sis 3 F L 121 Stevens Gary L. Mason Ingrid
12 Stellar Wind 3 F L 121 Espinoza Victor Sadler John W.
13 Birdatthewire 3 F L 121 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Romans Dale L.
14 Puca 3 F L 121 Alvarado Junior Mott William I.
15 Peace And War 3 F L 121 Leparoux Julien R. Stevens Olly

I think this is a 4 horse race between Birdatthewire, I'm a Chatterbox, Stellar Wind and Lovely Maria.  Include Betty could have an outside chance and Condo Commando is a horse that might surprise people. Peace and War needs some help to get into the race and if she does hoping that this US start goes better then her last.

As for my pick, the Fair Grounds has been a hot bed for years for fillies. However I'm a Chatterbox might be the horse who could buck that trend as I'm worried (a little bit) about the distance. I think this year's winner comes out of Florida. Birdatthewire is bred to run all day and for that reason she is my pick. Stellar Wind for second and Lovely Maria for third.

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