What do Blind Luck and Zenyatta have in common? Well they are both closers, both have won at Hollywood, have wins on both a synthetic surface as well as dirt, and both have won a mile and a quarter. Other then that, there really isn't that much more in common. Zenyatta didn't get her career started until almost of the better 3yo's (sans Curlin) retired and Blind Luck was a multiple G1 winner at 2. After tomorrow, though they will have one mroe thing in common... a common opponet. Who may that be? Why it's Switch and if Mike Smith is not careful tomorrow, this John Sadler trainee by Quiet American could pull the biggest upset ever. It will send shockwaves throughout racing not only here in the US, but around the world too.
Why could Switch be the most dangrous candiate to upset the Queen? There are a few reasons why:
1. She is a synthetic specialist: To be more specific she is a Cushion lover. All of her wins have been at Hollywood and when she hasn't won, but finished in the top three it was on a synthetic surface. Her two times off the fake stuff she has finished out of the top three each time (both this year losing to Evening Jewel and Devil May Care respectivley).
2. She has a win at the distance: It's well known that Z perfers at least a mile and an eighth. She can win shorter, but since she kicks in so late in the stretch it may be too little too late to catch Switch. She won the Hollywood Oaks at this distance.
3. She has beaten a Champion: In that Hollywood Oaks, it was the return for Blind Luck after her KY Oaks win. Now Blind Luck is much better on dirt then she is a synthetic surface, and she did get a bad ride that day. Never the less, Switch did win. Here is her Holly Oaks win.
There are a few things that may make me wrong, one is that she is breaking on the rail and there should be enough of a pace for Zenyatta to run at. Also I don't know much about her jockey.
With all that being said, will Switch win? Sadly I think Zenyatta will be too much for this field and should tie Pepper's Pride's record. However, I will be shocked if Z throws a clunker and we do see another horse win. It's going to be a fun race indeed.
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