Welcome to the Final Night of the Breeder's Cup Fields. Today I have four races and I'll preview each field. Instead of telling you how I'm going to play them (which I should note I'm actually this is all hypothetcial as I'm a horrible handicapper and bettor), I'm just going to tell you who want to win, who I think will win and the dark horse.
Filly & Mare Turf
1 Visit (GB), J. Velazquez, 10-1
2 Forever Together, J. Leparoux, 5/2
3 Rutherienne, Alan Garcia, 8-1
4 Magical Fantasy, Alex Solis, 3-1
5 Pure Clan, G. Gomez, 5-1
6 Midday (GB), T. Queally, 4-1
7 Dynaforce, K. Desormeaux, 8-1
8 Maram, J. Lezcano, 15-1
The winner of this race could be F/M Eclipse Champion unless Diamondrella, Goldikova or Dar Re Mi win their respective races. While Forever Together is the defending champ, I really don't like her chances here. She's really not been the same horse, and should have beaten Diamondrella both times they met. Rutherienne is coming in somewhat under the radar, she won her prep and has been a bit underated in her career. Beware of Magical Fantasy as well, she's the local in the race, Midday and Visit could be factors as well. I'm tossing Dynaforce, and Pure Clan as they may need softer courses to win. Maram could suprise everyone like she did last year in the Juvy Fillies Turf.
Who I want to win: Rutherianne, Visit, Midday
Who I think will win: Magical Fantasy, Forever Together, Midday
Dark Horse: Maram
BC Turf
1 Telling, J. Castellano, 20-1
2 Conduit (IRE), Ryan Moore, 7/5
3 Red Rocks (IRE), J. Leparoux, 20-1
4 Allegre, J. Velazquez, 50-1 scratched due to injury5 Dar Re Mi (GB), L. Dettori, 3-1
6 Presious Passion, Elvis Trujillo, 4-1
7 Spanish Moon, K. Fallon, 5/2
8 Monzante, R. Bejarano, 30-1
No Sea the Stars, no Youmzin, not really interested in watching this year. Outside of Conduit, Dar Re Mi and Pressious Passion, this is a really sucky field dispite having Red Rocks, Telling and Spanish Moon. And those three are either Grade or Group 1 winners. However the three I mentioned first are the ones to beat. Conduit is the defending champ and is coming off a 3rd place finish in the Arc, Dar Re Mi gets a jockey change after she finished 5th in the Arc. Red Rocks is just not the same at age 6 that he was at age 3, 4, and 5. This is going to be his final race before being sold at Keenland, Spanish Moon hopefully won't have gate problems. However, they are all going to have to chase my pick Presious Passion around the track. The firm surface will keep him happy and give him his third G1 of the year, it won't be enough to steal Eclipse Turf Male away from Gio Ponti, but it will set him up for next year.
Who I want to win: Presious Passion, Telling, Dar Re Mi
Who I think will win: Dar Re Mi, Presious Passion, Conduit
Dark Horse:Telling
Ladies' Classic
1 Careless Jewel, Robert Landry, 2-1
2 Life Is Sweet, Garret Gomez, 8-1
3 Mushka, K. Desormeaux, 12-1
4 Lethal Heat, Alex Solis, 20-1
5 Proviso (GB), J. Velazquez, 8-1
6 Cocoa Beach (CHI), R. Migliore, 8-1
7 Music Note, R. Maragh, 9/5
8 Rainbow View, J. Leparoux, 6-1
9 times out of 10 the possible 3yo Champion Filly and the possible Older Champion Filly/Mare would meet here for the first time ever. However the possible Older Champion Mare taking on the boys and the slam dunk 3yo Champion Filly taking a rest, it's still a nice race. Any other year Careless Jewel would have been that slam dunk 3yo Champion Filly with her wins in the Delaware Oaks, Alabama and Collition. She's a pacesetter, although she can also sit off the pace. Any other year Music Note would be the possible Older Champion Filly/Mare, and is coming off two very impressive wins in the Ballerina and Beldame, she'll come from mid-pack, back of the pack. Instead the second fiddles to Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta will go for bragging rights here. I personally perfer Music Note over Careless Jewel, if Proviso can stay stright she has a chance as well, however if there is an upset of either Music Note or Careless Jewel, I think it will be from Lethal Heat. She almost was cross entered in this race and the Turf Sprint, but due to an over subscription of the latter, her connections had to choose a race. My only concern is that she has raced quite a bit in the past two months, however her last race was the Lady's Secret where finished second behind Zenyatta. Rainbow View could suprise people as well.
Who I want to win: Music Note, Careless Jewel, Lethal Heat
Who I think will win: Music Note, Life is Sweet, Proviso
Dark Horse: Lethal Heat, Proviso, Rainbow View
Last, but not least!
BC Classic
1 Mine That Bird, Calvin Borel, 12-1
2 Colonel John, G. Gomez, 12-1
3 Summer Bird, K. Desormeaux, 9/2
4 Zenyatta, Mike Smith, 5/2
5 Twice Over (GB), T. Queally, 20-1
6 Richard's Kid, Alex Solis, 12-1
7 Gio Ponti, R. Dominguez, 12-1
8 Einstein (BRZ), J. Leparoux, 12-1
9 Girolamo, Alan Garcia, 20-1
10 Rip Van Winkle (IRE), J. Murtagh, 7/2
11 Regal Ransom, R. Migliore, 20-1
12 Quality Road, J. Velazquez, 12-1
13 Awesome Gem, David Flores, 30-1
The big race of the day. Many people think a win by Zenyatta or Summer Bird could give them a chance at Horse of the Year, however don't count out Einstein or Richard's Kid. These where 2-1 in the Pacific Classic in August (Einstein was second, Richard's Kid won in a shocker), plus Einstein won the Santa Anita Handicap in March. Rip Van Winkle is a deserving second choice, however he has feet issues which is why I wouldn't use him, Regal Ransom could be the pace setter along with Quality Road, but don't expect either of them near the end (although QR has a very grassy female side and has the defending sire of this race as his sire). A win by either Einstein or Gio Ponti will give them Older Male, but don't forget the forgotten Bird. Although this is not his favorite surface, once again Mine That Bird is coming into a big race under radar. And with him and Borel on the rail, if he gets the trip that he got in the Derby he could steal this race and help "Borail's" BFF ice HOY (aka Rachel). Now go watch either Twice Over (who of the two Euros I perfer) or Awesome Gem win the race.
Who I want to win: Zenyatta, Einstein, Richard's Kid
Who I think will win: Sadly I think Zenyatta gets her first loss her, but only by a 1/2 length to Richard's Kid, Einstein in third. It would be the first Classic win for his trainer Bob Baffert and he would be the 2nd Maryland bred to win the race (the first being the one and only Cigar). Mine That Bird beats his "brother" Summer Bird for the 4th postion.
Dark Horse: Twice Over, Mine That Bird, Girolamo
Well that's it for the BC Fields, unfortanlly I have to work tomorrow and Saturday however I should be able to see some of the BC Saturday and one or two races tomorrow. I'll have a full recap on Monday, and then I'll announce what the plan for the blog is for the rest of the year. Anyway everyone good luck with your bets and hope everyone has a fablous Breeder's Cup weekend
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