February 2, 2009

Beyers and Top Five (2/2/09)

I could only find the Beyers for stakes races for this weekend. So here they are:

Hutcheson S (G2): Capt. Candyman Can- 100
Holy Bull S (G3): Saratoga Sinner- 96
Donn H (G1): Albertus Maximus- 101
Gulfstream Park Turf H (G1): Kip Deville- 103
Santa Monica H (G1): Ventura- 96

The other Beyers of this weekends stakes races can be found at DRF.com

Now for the top five, what I'm going to do is do each divisions (except for 2yo's as it's too early for them to race). Some of the lists will actually be a one horse list or a two horse list, that's because there is really no standouts in that particular division, this early in the year. As the year progresses, more horses will come to the front of my lists. For the first few times I'll be putting what in the future I'll be calling the division in parenthesis. I'm not doing the turf and sprinter divisions for now, as there is too much murkiness for me. I'll proably do them in the next few weeks.

Three Year Old Male Division (Triple Crown Division)- Note: This will become of the Older Male/Classic Division, after the Belmont

1. Old Fashioned (Unbridled's Song)- I'm not a huge fan of his yet, I really need to see his race at Oaklawn. However, there is no mistake that he's very talented colt, and with 2yo champion Midshipman in Dubai, he could become the morning line favorite if his form holds. Next race: Southwest S. at Oaklawn

2. Chocolate Candy (Candy Ride)- This is another horse who benifits of Midshipman being in Dubai as he would have otherwised faced him in Santa Anita Derby. The biggest concern is will he take to the dirt. I don't see that being a problem, but you never know. His pedigree oozes with class, with his sire being undefted, broodmare sire being a Triple Crown winner, his grandmother, a half sister to another Triple Crown champion who is by her brother's arch rival,(BTW the two TC winners I'm talking about are Seattle Slew (his broodmare sire) and Affirmed who won in 1977 and 1978 respectivly. Affirmed's half sister (CC's grandmother) is by his arch rival Alydar). Next race: El Camino Real Derby at Golden Gate

3. Capt. Candyman Can (Candy Ride)- Here's where it gets a little bit murky, I know I should put Midshipman here, but I'm just not convinced he'll return before the Triple Crown. I do hope I'm wrong, but we'll see. Anway Capt. is coming off a win this past Friday in the Hutchenson, beating Hello Broadway and Break Water Edison. He seems to have a bad race, every other time, but he's number 3 as most the horses I would have put in front of him, have either not started yet this year, or have not done well. He's won at a mile, and his first time he race over a mile he finished third. So it will be interesting if he does go to the Fountain of Youth next. Next race: Fountain of Youth? at Gulfsteam

4. Patena (Seeking the Gold)- Of all horses in the top five (as of right now), I would not be suprised if he ends up spoiling the Triple Crown or wins the whole thing. A very impressive second place finish in the LaComte last time out, he was sold to IEAH and has a new trainer in Rick Dutrow. Now his dam Handpainted, is by AP Indy (Who in turn is by Seattle Slew who I mentioned in Chocolate Candy's profile), the 1992 Belmont Stakes winner. In turn her dam Daijin, is by Deputy Minsiter out of the Buckpasser mare Passing Mood. This makes her, a half sister to 1989 Candian TC winner With Approval and a full sister to 1997 Belmont winner (and TC spoiler) Touch Gold. Next race: Fountain of Youth? at Gulfstream

5. Friesan Fire (AP Indy)- Stablemate to Old Fashioned, they are going on two compleatly different routes, FF is staying in New Orleans for their preps, while Old Fashioned is in AR. He won the LaComte last time out, and had a pretty decent two year old season. His female family is interesting as it's something we don't usally see in the US. His dam Bollinger, who is by Dehere is out of a Group 1 winner from Australia. Bollinger is a Group 1 winner, herself. I think he may end up being on the turf in the future, (Both AP Indy and Dehere's broodmare sire is 1973 Triple Crown winner Secretariat, who might have better on turf then dirt). But lets see how he does in the other preps and the TC. Next race: Risen Star S. at Fair Grounds

Three Year Old Females Division (Triple Tiara)- Note: Will be combined with the Older Female/ Distaff Division after August

1. Stardom Bound (Tapit)- New owners, new trainer. Still the BC Juvi Fillies winner is on top of this division, for now. I'll be interested in how she does in her first race for IEAH. Next race: Las Virgenes at Santa Anita

2. Rachel Alexandra (Medaglia d'Oro)- My personal favorite, she's going on the same path as Eight Belles did last year. I'm really, really excited to see how she does this year and I seriously think that she could be the one to upset Stardom Bound in the KY Oaks. Next race: Martha Washington at Oaklawn

3. Elusive Heat (Elusive Quality)- She's a sprinter, but her last few races have been amazing. But then again, her genes help. Dad was a world record holder at a mile on grass and her mom is the great sprinting filly Xtra Heat. Look out for her in to give Indian Blessing and Ventura a run for their money later on this year. Next race: ????

4. Laragh (Tapit)- In the end, I think she'll be the better of the two IEAH Tapit fillies. Won the Hollywood Starlet on Proride last time out. Not sure if she'll take on her more regarded stablemate, or stay on turf this year. Next race: ????

I have to come back in a week to have a top five for this division.

Older Male Division (Classic Division)- Note: Will combine with the 3yo male/Triple Crown division after the TC.

1. Albertus Maximus (Albert the Great)- Now Curlin is retired, he is a class behind by himself. It's early in the season, so we can't judge in how he will do in Dubai, so it's a toss up. Next race: Dubai World Cup? in Dubai, UAE

2. Tiago (Plesant Tap)- Really the only good horse from that great class of 2007 left (there are a few others, but he's in a league of his own). He's proably better on dirt, then the Pro Ride. I'm not sure where he's heading as his stud rights have been sold to Adena and there has been no announcement to weather he's still in training or not. Next race: ????

This is a really murky divison and won't really start to really take shape until the Summer. Although after next weekend, it might be more clearer.

Older Female Division (Distaff Division)- Note: will be combined with the 3yo female/Triple Tiara division in August.

This is deepest division and when combined in August with the 3yo's will be even deeper..

1. Zenyatta (Street Cry)- A woman among girls, the winner of the BC Ladies Classic. She could make a strong run at Horse of the Year and possibly get it. Next race: ????

2. Proud Spell (Proud Citizen)- She couldn't really take to farm life, and is returning this year. The 3yo filly champion proably won't pop up until mid year. Hopefully she is DelCap bound once she gets off the ground running. Next race: ????

3. Music Note (AP Indy)- You could make an arguement that she desereved the Eclipse over Proud Spell, but she's just going to get better and better. Don't be surprised if she takes a chance on turf, but it will be an exciting year for her. Next race: ????

4. Cocoa Beach (Doneraile Court)- Music Note's stablemate, she could possibly just stay on the turf this year. Of the two, Godolphin has more options with her. Next race: ????

5. Ventura (Chester House)- Out of Indian Blessing and her, she's probably the better of the two. Another case where she probably should have won the Eclipse. And like Cocoa Beach, she can run both on synthetic/dirt or turf. Next race: ????

Overall:
too early to tell

Wednesday will be the Weekend Preview

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